By Chris Maza
Fan Fanatic Sports Staff
(As the college football season approaches, I will be breaking down each of the following conferences: The Big XII, the PAC-10, the Big East and the WAC. This week I tackle the Big XII. If you haven't already, don't forget to check out last week's preview of Notre Dame.)
Sorry, all you Jayhawks, Cowboys, Huskers and Raiders.
The Big XII is still Sooner and Longhorn country.
While the Big XII will remain one of the most competitive conferences in college football and could possibly be even more competitive than last year, there’s no reason to think anyone but Oklahoma or Texas is going to walk away with the conference title.
Once again in 2009, you can’t have a conversation about the national championship without these two, who are considered by many to be the two of the top three teams in the country. Exactly where they rank is debatable, but one thing is clear – these two teams are clearly in front in a conference full of offensive firepower.
That fact statement in and of itself seems odd to say. Isn’t the Big XII supposed to be a rough-and-tumble conference dominated by defense? Well, times have changed and while several teams still have top-notch defenses, explosive offense is the name of the game.
And how can you talk about explosive offense without first mentioning Sam Bradford? Bradford led the Sooner’s No. 1 ranked scoring offense (51.14 points per game) with the nation’s third-best passing attack. But coming off his 50 touchdown 2008 season, there are questions revolving the Sooners. First off is who is he going to throw to? Juaquin Iglesias and Manuel Johnson are gone and there’s not a lot of experience coming in to fill those spots. Also, while Trent Williams will be back, the Sooners are missing four starting offensive linemen from the 2008 squad. Not that OU has to really worry about a lack of talent at any position, but don’t expect them to match last year’s No. 3 ranking in sacks allowed. With the parts missing, Bradford will have to adjust and there’s no reason to think he won’t and Chris Brown - who would have been a sure-fire first-rounder if he opted for the draft – returns to give him support in the backfield. Oh, don’t forget OU returns nine starters on defense, too. OU remains a powerhouse, but the one question still remains: Can they win the big game?
The Texas Longhorns felt last year they deserved to be in the Big XII title game last year and they might have had a valid point, having beaten the Sooners during the regular season. Instead, the Sooners broke a three-way tie in the South with the fifth tiebreaker and eventually won the Big XII championship and punched their ticket to the BCS national championship. This year, Texas wants to make sure this year they don’t leave anything up to statistics. Colt McCoy returns to lead one of the Top-5 offenses in football and the defense remains one of the best in the nation. If there’s one knock on the offense, it’s the lack of a running attack, as McCoy led the team in rushing last year. Still, it didn’t seem to hinder things in 2008. Defensively, the Longhorns boast one of the nation’s best linebacking corps and a solid secondary unit, but the defensive line needs to be totally overhauled. Only if the line can create pressure can the defense maintain the kind of pass defense they had in the past.
Just because there are only two clear contenders for a national championship in the conference, does not mean the rest of the bunch is a collection of stiffs.
Oklahoma State is looking to make a big statement this year with possibly the best offense it has ever had in its history, but doesn’t stand much of a chance of winning the conference. Beating both Texas and Oklahoma for the South division title is an extremely tall task for any team, regardless of how good they may be
.
Kansas, another big offense team, is a quickly up-and-coming team and with Mizzou looking much weaker this year and Nebraska seemingly not quite there yet, the Jayhawks could take the Big XII North.
Nebraska is going to rely on the old way of doing things in the Big XII, relying on its defense to pull out games. They have improved quite a bit and won the Gator Bowl last year, but let’s remember that was against a Clemson team that really wasn’t that good.
Texas Tech is replacing both Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree, but it still runs a system that could make a boatload of quarterbacks very successful, making them still a very dangerous offensive team.
Missouri won the Big XII North last year, but will have to move on without Chase Daniel, Jeremy Maclin, Chase Coffman and William Moore. While they’ll still be good enough to make some competitive games and maybe make things interesting in the division, there’s just too much turnover for them to be considered a true contender.
When it’s all said and done, it all comes down to the classic rivalry – Texas and Oklahoma. So who’s the best? It’s too close to say definitively, but more question marks seem to revolve around the Sooners than the ‘Horns. It could come down to Oklahoma’s last game of the season, on the road at Oklahoma State. OSU will be in the mix for some serious bowl consideration, making this maybe the most critical matchup of the season for OU, OSU AND Texas.
Prediction: Texas wins the South, Kansas wins the North. Texas wins the conference and carries its 12-1 record into the BSC national championship.
