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Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Fantasy Football: Committee approach hurting RB stats

By Chad Garner
Fan Fanatic Sports Staff
Who to grab at running back?
While that has been the No. 1 position to land on draft day in any type of format over the years, the running back position is starting to take a back seat to the wide receivers. It's pretty simple, too. The running back by committee approach is really hosing fantasy owners, while the increasing-popular points per reception has given wideouts more fantasy appeal.
I'm not saying running back aren't important, but having to play the juggling act between rotating tailbacks takes away from overall fantasy production.
So, obviously, the key is to draft those backs that have won the starting job outright and don't really have the share the workload with anyone else.

TOP 20

1. Adrian Peterson -- Vikings
The 6-foot-1, 217-pound featured back from Minnesota just keeping getting better. Now entering his third season, AP will be looking to increase his production of 1,760 yards and 10 rushing TDs with 21 receptions and 125 yards. Just think if the Vikings would use Peterson a little more in the passing game. But either way, you can't go wrong with landing Peterson as your featured back. Plus, he's a workhorse who gets the ball quite often -- 363 carries last year.

2. Matt Forte -- Bears
As a rookie Forte, a second-round draft pick out of Tulane, was a force in both the rushing and passing game. He had 1,238 yards rushing and 63 catches for 477 yards with 12 total touchdowns. Could you make a case for him as your No. 1 back or the top overall running back selected? No doubt. Forte might even be stronger this year with Jay Cutler now running the show at QB. Watch Forte's numbers blow up -- rushing, receiving and total touchdowns. He's a fantasy force.

3. Michael Turner -- Falcons
Turner the Burner proved that he's a top-flight running back, considering he had spent his previous years as a backup in San Diego. Turner just knows how to find the end zone -- he had 17 TDs and 1,699 yards as a first-year starter. With the way Matt Ryan led the Atlanta offense last year, expect Turner to carry the load once again. Don't be surprised if he duplicates that TD total. One downer for Turner owners: He's a non-factor in the passing game (6 catches last year).

4. Brian Westbrook -- Eagles
Say what you want about Westbrook -- he's injury-prone (he's missed at least one game in the last 3 years), but he's usually on the field playing hurt and he's still productive and dangerous while being wounded. Westbrook is that true double-threat (rushing, receiving) that you should covet on draft day. He's averaged 1,162 yards, 74 receptions, 402 receiving yards and 12 total touchdowns in the last three years. I know he's coming off injury and that's always a scary scenario, but when the Eagles' offense is going strong, Westbrook is the one that's breaking down opposing defenses. 

5. DeAngelo Williams -- Panthers
Williams might split time with Jonathan Stewart in the Carolina backfield, but there's no mistaking who is the go-to back. Williams was a fantasy delight last season with 1,515 yards and 20 touchdowns. We all know the Panthers love to take the air out of the football and use their hulking offensive line to wear down defenses, and Williams is the ultra-quick back that teams just can't bring down -- especially in the fourth quarter when they are gassed from getting beat on the entire game. Don't sleep on Williams. He didn't score 20 times last year for nothing. He'll carry your team.

6. Maurice Jones-Drew -- Jaguars
While I'm still not sold on Jones-Drew (I'm still questioning how he'll do as the featured guy in Jacksonville since Fred Taylor is now a member of the Patriots), there's no questioning that he's a productive fantasy guy. In shared duties last year, Jones-Drew rushed for over 800 yards and caught 62 balls for 565 yards, while scampering into the end zone 14 times. All in all, that equated into a very good season. But the question still remains: How will the 5-foot-7 back handle a full-time load. Can he take a pounding, while carrying the ball over 300 times and keep producing? Prove it to me. I'm not drinking that silly-juice just yet. I like the points he puts up, but is he the real deal and should I be believing all the hype?

7. Steve Slaton -- Texans
Slaton is simply a burner, but a real tough burner at that. As a rookie, he carries 268 times for 1,282 yards, and also added 50 catches for 377 yards and 10 total scores. Mind you, that was as a rookie. Slaton has quickly become a legit running back, no doubt earning the right to be considered a RB1 guy on draft day. When a guy proves that he's durable and has the uncanny knack and potential of scoring every time he touches the ball, then that's the type of guy you want leading your ballclub. Don't be afraid of a sophomore jinx.

8. Marion Barber -- Cowboys 
Marion The Barbarian took a little break last year, and had an off year with only 9 total touchdowns due to a nagging toe injury. If the Cowboys don't lean on this stud and pound the rock -- he also has great hands and can be utilized in the passing game -- then they are just plain crazy. Barber runs with such force and power, the Cowboys seem afraid to really give him the ball 25 times per game. Barber's rushing carries for the last three years are: 135, 204, 238. It's just not enough. Even if Barber doesn't rack up the major rushing totals (he had 885 last year and 975 in 2007), he can make up for it with receptions (52 last year) and touchdowns (remember, he had 16 in 2006). Some owners might be worried about Barber's production, but not me. He's primed for a bounce-back season.

9. Chris Johnson -- Titans
Johnson, as a rookie, produced game after game. The East Carolina product rushed for 1,228 yards, while catching 43 passes and scoring 10 times. This was all while splitting carries with bigman LenDale White. Expect more sharing of the workload. If you know anything about the Titans you know they are physical and lean heavily on the run. It'll continue this year, but Johnson will once again get his numbers. While he may have games where White gets 2-3 goal-line vulture TDs, Johnson will get the stats from in between the 20-yard lines. Plus, his big-play ability is simply too good to pass up on.

10. LaDainian Tomlinson -- Chargers
What, LT at No. 10? It can't be, can it? You bet, this isn't the same LT from 2006 where he scored 31 TDs. But this version -- the 30-year-old shaky legs tailback -- is still good enough to help you get a fantasy title. Tomlinson, despite getting only 292 carries because Darren Sproles dipped into some off those handofffs, still managed to score 10 times. He's also still important to San Diego's passing game, where he caught 52 balls for 426 yards. LT still has something left in the tank, but don't go overboard and think you're going to get 2006's stats. But this is still LT, right? 

11. Brandon Jacobs -- Giants 
12. Steven Jackson -- Rams
13. Frank Gore -- 49ers
14. Reggie Bush -- Saints
15. Clinton Portis -- Redskins
16. Ryan Grant -- Packers
17. Kevin Smith -- Lions
18. Marshawn Lynch -- Bills
19. Ronnie Brown -- Dolphins
20. Thomas Jones -- Jets

WATCH OUT FOR
Ryan Grant -- Packers
Pierre Thomas -- Saints
Darren McFadden -- Raiders
LenDale White -- Titans

BE WARY OF
Joseph Addai -- Colts
Larry Johnson -- Chiefs
Jamal Lewis -- Browns
Willie Parker -- Steelers

WORTH A FLYER
Jonathan Stewart -- Panthers
Leon Washington -- Jets
Rashard Mendenhall -- Steelers
Cedric Benson -- Bengals

(Coming tomorrow: Wide receiver rankings by Jim Ingram)

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

WAC Preview: Can Boise State grab BCS glory now?

By Chris Maza Fan Fanatic Sports Staff

(Note: As the college football season approaches, I will be breaking down the following conferences: The Big XII, the PAC-10, the WAC and the Big East. This week I tackle the WAC. If you haven't already, don't forget to check out past previews of independent Notre Dame, the Big XII and the PAC-10)

It has been an interesting off season for the WAC as it and the Mountain West signed a BCS television contract in July. Along with the signed contract, the WAC sent along a letter with it's "concerns" about the BCS process. But in reality, they are still on the receiving end of one of the biggest screw jobs in sports in the fact that even after signing the contract, WAC teams are still not given automatic BCS bowl consideration. The conference vowed to continue its fight for equality, but how many waves can you make while being part of a $500 million machine?

So Boise State remains the WAC's best chance at busting things open for the WAC. Not that that means very much. The WAC champion Broncos were ninth in BCS polling at the end of the regular season, ahead of Ohio State (who lost to Texas in the Fiesta Bowl) and Cincinnati (who were thumped by Virginia Tech in the Orange Bowl). If you weren't paying attention, even with a decent strength of schedule ranking of 56th, undefeated Boise State was relegated to the Poinsettia Bowl, which did turn out to be one of the best games of the bowl schedule against TCU. Still, the fact that it was a great game against another underappreciated team does not take away the sting of such an obvious snub. Especially when you lose that game.

So the Broncos once again will look for legitimacy in the college football ranks. And while their conference schedule gives them little help in that regard, but if they are able to beat a tough Oregon team in their season opener, it will be a pretty good indication that this team can beat teams with top talent.

Defense remains the main strength of the Broncos - they were 10th in the country in points allowed last season - and that is not likely to change, even with turnover in the front seven. Ryan Winterswyk is a young, but active d-lineman who will help solidify the front line and an experienced secondary will jam up receivers, giving the youngsters up front enough time to get at opposing quarterbacks.

Offensively, sophomore Kellen Moore figures to be even better than his first year and a good line and capable running backs will look to take some of the load off Moore's shoulders. That's a good thing, because if the Broncos have a major weakness, it's in the receiving corps. Beyond Austin Pettis, there isn't much there in terms of truly reliable options for the passing game.

Nevada will be an interesting team to watch coming out of the conference with an absolutely explosive offense. Even though they and Hawaii were tied with 5-3 conference records, many make the argument that Nevada was the better team, citing specifically the Wolf Pack's 38-31 victory over the Warriors. This year there will be no doubt who the number two team in the conference is. Colin Kaepernick is an absolute stud, having compiled nearly 4,000 of total offense (2,849 passing, 1,130 rushing) and 39 touchdowns. Also returning is Vai Taua, the man who actually led the team in rushing, believe it or not, with 1,521 yards, good for eighth in the nation. Nevada's problem last year remains its problem this year - defense. Nevada was ranked 150th in points allowed, giving up an average of 31.5 points per contest. The Wolf Pack had the worst defense in football against the pass, which makes life difficult for them when they face good throwing teams on their schedule like Notre Dame, Missouri and Boise State. The good thing is they are a year older, but adding a year to a bad secondary doesn't mean it's necessarily going to be better.

Two teams that could make a major leap in the conference on Fresno State and Louisiana Tech. The killer for Fresno State could be the fact they play a heavier out-of-conference schedule than others, which includes traveling to Wisconsin and Cincinnati. Its strength lies in its defense, which may sound stupid, considering it ranked seventh in the conference last year. However, let's not forget that a multitude of injuries and the fact defensive coordinator Dan Brown was battling cancer had a lot to do with that. Brown died in March of this year. If they can stay healthy and the players buy into the new coordinator's game plan, 2009 could be a much different story. The big question is who will lead the offense for the Bulldogs? If Ryan Colburn turns out to be even a decent quarterback, with the backfield the Bulldogs have, they could be very successful, especially in conference play.

Louisiana Tech might be ready to step into the big time in the WAC. Last year's defense was the best in the conference in scoring defense, allowing just 10 points per game. That was good for sixth in the nation, too, by the way. Their 8-5 record earned them a spot in the Independence Bowl, where they beat Northern Illinois by a score of 17 - (you guessed it) 10. While the defense probably won't be quite that good this year with several key pieces missing, the offense should be able to pick up a bit more of the slack this season. With a strong line in front of him, Daniel Porter should find similar success in the running game as he did in 2008, but for this team to get over the hump, Ross Jenkins will have to become a true leader at the quarterback position.

Hawaii has made news recently because head coach Greg McMackin is still stewing about getting trounced on his home field by a disappointing Notre Dame team, so he felt the need to call them a derogatory term. That's pretty much the only reason this team will make headlines this year. The suspension is a joke, as McMackin will still be able to coach on a "volunteer basis," so don't expect the Rainbow Warriors (ironic, isn't it?) to skip a beat in that regard. Where they will be hurting is on defense, where the team returns just three starters. Offensively, they should be fine, having found a competent quarterback in Greg Alexander, who threw 14 touchdowns and five interceptions in the final six games of the year with a 63 percent completion rate. But is that offense good enough to make up for all the shortcomings they will have on defense? Don't count on it.

Prediction: Boise State again takes the conference, but not without a bump in the road at Louisiana Tech, causing them to fall short in their quest for a BCS bid.

Projected WAC standings:
1. Boise State
2. Nevada
3. Louisiana Tech
4. Fresno State
5. Hawaii
6. San Diego State
7. Utah State
8. New Mexico State
9. Idaho

Fantasy Football: Despite injury, Brady's the top dog

By Jim Ingram
Fan Fanatic Sports Staff
Starting this morning, FFS will take an in depth look into the positional rankings for upcoming fantasy football season. Despite the fact the running back position is traditionally viewed as the most important fantasy position, we'll start with the Quarterbacks today. The leaders on the field, should be the leaders in this series in my opinion. We'll take a good look at the top 10 of each position, and round out with a list of the rest of the top 20.
The Top 20:
1. Tom Brady - Patriots
You can cut me the line about him being not fully recovered. He'll be fine, especially since he's emotionally strong and ready to take on the blitz. He won't put reset the touchdown mark this season, but shouldn't be too far off. He is dealing with the best receiving corp in the leagues thanks to the addition of Joey Galloway. There's not one team in the league with a better trio of receivers. He also has a very deep chart of running backs on the team that opposing defenses need to respect.
2. Drew Brees - Saints
It's going to be hard to top the 5,000 yard season he had last year, but he still has a good offensive line, good crop of running backs, and a ton of targets to throw to. I doubt he'll reach the 5,000 yard plateau again, but look for him to get 4,500+ and 30+ TD's.
3. Kurt Warner - Cardinals
I had a tough time with this slot, but ultimately put Warner in front of Peyton Manning because of the offense the Cardinals run. Despite adding Beanie Wells in addition to Tim Hightower, the Cardinals will still primarily throw the ball. Of course it doesn't hurt that Warner will be throwing to the 2nd best trio of wide receivers in the NFL in Fitzgerald, Boldin and Breaston.
4. Peyton Manning - Colts
Don't get me wrong, Peyton is still the 2nd best quarterback in the game, just not in fantasy land. Manning did have a down year last year. It says a lot when a QB throws for 4,020 yards and 27 touchdowns and that is considered a step back. I do have him downgraded at the 4 slot because of a lack of depth at the wide receiver position.
5. Aaron Rodgers - Packers
Mark my words. Aaron Rodgers will have a fantastic fantasy season this year. In his first full season as a starter, Rodgers threw for 4,038 yards, 28 TD's, 13 INT's & even rushed for 4 TD's. I anticipate a better year with him topping 30 TD's and getting closer to the 4,500 yard mark. Ryan Grant should have a better year, so it should open up the passing game even more.
6. Donovan McNabb - Eagles
I know I'll get a little flack having McNabb so high, but I think he's poised for a big year. The Eagles are locked and loaded for a run at the Super Bowl this year. If Brian Westbrook misses the start of the season, McNabb will be relied on even more to move the ball down the field.
7. Phillip Rivers - Chargers
I am not a Phillip Rivers fan at all, but after his performance against the Patriots in the AFC Championship two years ago, I have to respect him. He followed up that game by having a career year last year topping the 4,000 yard mark and throwing 34 TD's. He's come into his own as a passer and has better chemistry with Vincent Jackson and the rest of the wide receiver corp.
8. Tony Romo - Cowboys
Romo would be a much better fantasy player if he wasn't so much of a gunslinger. He still has way too much Brett Favre in him for me to draft him. He still has a ton of weapons despite the subtraction of Terrell Owens. The big question for me is the chemistry between him and Roy Williams. Have they had enough time together to put up a good year?
9. Matt Schaub - Texans
Yes, Matt Schaub is a top 10 fantasy QB this season, he just needs to stay on the field. in 11 games he averaged 276 yards per game and had a 92.7 rating. Andre Johnson is a stud, and people don't realize how good Kevin Walter really is. Throw in Owen Daniels, a very solid tight end, and a good running game led by Steve Slaton, and it all adds up to an offense that should score a lot.
10. Matt Ryan - Falcons
Matt Ryan had a very good rookie season, but still wasn't asked to do too much. He'll get a lot more responsibility this season. I expect him to throw around 4,000 yards, and could reach the 20+ touchdown Plataea after throwing for 16 last year. He has a shiny new toy in Tony Gonzalez and a two good wide outs in Roddy White and Michael Jenkins. The Falcons do pride themselves on a good running game, but that will only help Ryan out in the long run opening up passing lanes and creating one on one match ups down the field.
11. Matt Hasselback - Seahawks
12. Ben Roethlisberger - Steelers
13. Carson Palmer - Bengals
14. Jay Cutler - Bears
15. Matt Cassell - Chiefs
16. David Garrard - Jaguars
17. Joe Flacco - Ravens
18. Eli Manning - Giants
19. Kyle Orton - Broncos
20. Trent Edwards - Bills
Watch out for:
Matt Hasselback
Carson Palmer
Byron Leftwich
Brady Quinn
Be wary of:
Matt Cassell
Eli Manning
Jason Campbell
(stay tuned for the running back rankings tomorrow by Chad Garner)

Monday, August 3, 2009

FFS is your home for Fantasy Football

By Jim Ingram
Fan Fanatic Sports Staff
Are you a fantasy football diehard? Have you already bought 3-4 fantasy football magazines, and are still looking for more info? Well, we have all the answers. Starting this week, we will be ramping up for the 2009 Fantasy Football season.
Stay tuned this week and all season for the best in fantasy football coverage!

Bats...and Buchholz...go boom in Baltimore

By Chris Maza
Fan Fanatic Sports Staff


It was both an encouraging and disturbing day for the Boston Red Sox at Camden Yards yesterday. Where to begin? Well, let's start with the positive.

The Red Sox scored 18 runs. Yep. The offense that was simply dreadful coming out of the All-Star break appears to have awakened. 23 hits, seven walks and only three strikeouts. What's more, they did it with the starting corner outfielders sitting on the bench. Jason Bay had the day off and J.D. Drew appeared to aggravate his groin injury legging out a triple in the first inning. The Red Sox are now 7-3 since snapping their five-game losing streak, averaging seven runs per game over that span.

Victor Martinez looks like he's settled right in with the Red Sox lineup. The Sox' big trade deadline splash went 5-for-6 yesterday with a double four RBI. Since coming to Boston two days ago, he's had as many RBI as Jason Bay had the entire month of July. In the first two games, Terry Francona has batted him third, where he primarily hit in Cleveland with a .304/.380/.490 line.

Josh Reddick continues to fill in admirably. Since coming up from AAA Pawtuckett, where he had a .277/.352/.520 line, Reddick has been asked to start twice, once in the place of J.D. Drew and once in the place of Jason Bay. In those two days, the 22-year-old has accomplished a plethora of firsts. Saturday, he recorded his first major-league hit and first major league double. The double was one of two he had, making it also his first multi-hit game. Sunday, he belted his first major-league homer, netted his first major-league RBI and scored his first major-league run. It's a very small sample size, but in three games (two starts, one pinch-hit), Reddick has a .364/.417/818 line with two doubles, a homer, two RBI and two runs scored. This probably won't keep, as scouts on every level have said he needs to polish his approach at the plate, but it's nice to see.

And now the negative. There's only really one big one.

Clay Buchholz showed his appreciation to the Red Sox brass for holding onto him by allowing seven runs in four innings to the AL East's worst team. And it was even worse than it sounds. Buchholz gave up nine hits and four walks. It seems odd, given that he threw 46 of his 76 pitches (61 percent) for strikes, but that just means he had no command. When he missed, he missed bad and when he hit the zone, he put it right in the O's hitters' wheelhouse. The Orioles' problems have never revolved around the offense, which is fourth in the majors in batting average, but that more illustrates the point than acts as an excuse. When you're against a team that can hit, you need to be more conscious of where you're putting the ball. Buchholz didn't do that and as a result, saw his ERA rise from 3.52 to 6.05. He hasn't made it out of the sixth inning in any of his five starts, giving up 28 hits - including 9 in each of his last two starts - in 19.1 innings and has a putrid 14/11 K/BB ratio.


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Sunday, August 2, 2009

Would you want Vick on the Patriots?

By Chad Garner
Fan Fanatic Sports Staff
Michael Vick to the Patriots?
The reports have been swirling for some time now that the New England Patriots are in the running to sign Vick. 
But, as a Patriots fan, do you want him?
I know there's always been that wow factor with Vick because he's such an outstanding athlete. He can run like the wind and elude defenders just like Barry Sanders did. But Vick is a quarterback, not a running back. He has always had issues throwing the football with accuracy and that's a must-have element for any quarterback in any league.
But with the new Wildcat formation sweeping the NFL, Vick does serve an instance service to any NFL team that wants to gamble on the troubled Vick. There's no doubt Vick would be the best Wildcat QB in the league, using his legs to run the option or even faking the run and throwing. Yes, he would be scary to defend in that formation.
But do the Patriots really need that?
I like Vick the athlete, not the QB, plus he's been out of the league for two years and behind bars in prison. How long will it take to shake off the rust, anyway?
Not to mention the Patriots have the best QB in the NFL in Tom Brady. I don't care if he's coming off major knee surgery and there are questions surrounding his overall health this season, Brady is the man to both men and women out there. Yes, I'm not afraid to say he's a major stud (take that statement any way you want).
Plus, you don't want to tick Brady off by bringing in another high-profile QB, even if he knows that he's still the No. 1 QB. Brady is the franchise and you keep him happy, bottom line.
Apparently, even though head coach Bill Belichick and the Pats love Vick's athleticism, Vick might not be a fit, not to mention is could be a public relations nightmare with him on that team. Does owner Robert Kraft really want to have to deal with that? I know the Pats have done a great job rehabilitating problem players in the past (Corey Dillon, Randy Moss), but at the time the Pats needed upgrades at that position and were banking on the fact the veterans in the locker room would keep them in check. 
The same could happen with Vick, but I just don't see the Pats taking a gamble on him. One would think Vick wants to start anyway, and he knows he'll hold a clipboard with Brady running the show. Vick would no doubt land a starting gig in the AFL and be the face of the new league, but in the NFL I don't see a starting job for him at the moment.
The Pats appear to be heading in a different direction anyway. If the reports are correct, New England worked out journeyman QB Cleo Lemon and they are currently in negotiations with his agent.
Is Vick better than Lemon? No doubt, but Lemon doesn't have any baggage (although his upside isn't that great, either) and you won't even know he's there. 
The question remains: Do you want Vick on the New England Patriots? Why or why not?

Friday, July 31, 2009

All 104 Names need to be released

By Jim Ingram
Fan Fanatic Sports Staff
It's unfair for the 7 "alleged" busted MLB players that the rest of the list has not been released. Don't get me wrong, I am 100% against the use of steroids and performing enhancing drugs in Major League Baseball. While the world is not fair, the government, baseball union and MLB have the ability to release the entire list and make it fair.
If the sport really wants to move forward, then they need to release the total list. We've already seen what it's done when one or two names are leaked here and there. That is what's going to happen until the list is all public. Enough already. Pull the band aid off and get it done.
What do you think?